Annihil88torr wrote:Anyone know exactly how often the Earth see's a
Asteroid or
Comet?
According to my astronomical software, there are currently 8 fairly bright
comets (magnitudes 8.8 to 14.5) in the sky, but only two are visible at night; the other six are currently in the daytime sky. My 12.5" telescope could (but for the daylight!) catch any of them. On January 22, there will be 20
comets in the sky (magnitudes 5.3 to 15.6), and 18 of them will be visible at night. I may have to make a point of
comet-hunting that night!
So ...
comets are pretty common, though most of them (like all the above) are not naked-eye visible. You need a telescope for all but the very brightest ones.
Annihil88torr wrote:I can't remember the last time I saw a huge
Asteroid or
Comet fly across the sky.
Ooo, you missed a
great comet last year, 17P Holmes. It had a
huge outburst, and was plainly visible to the naked eye for several weeks. It was just incredible, one of the greatest cometary outbursts ever seen. Holmes unexpectedly brightened from a magnitude of about 17 to about 2.8 in a period of only 42 hours. That is, in less than two days, it got 500,000 times brighter. At its brightest, it was visible from downtown Tokyo. It was quite a show!
As for
asteroids, well they're pretty common too. On that same January night, seven of the very biggest ones will be visible, but again, too faint to see with the naked eye. My observing software lists 10,000 of the bigger
asteroids. Vesta is really the only one you might have a chance to see with the naked eye, and only when it is favorably positioned and you have a
very dark sky, as in a remote location.
Meanwhile, get ready for 2029. The
asteroid named Apophis will pass about 22,600 miles from Earth, closer than geosynchronous satellites. if you're in Europe, Africa, or western Asia, it will reach magnitude 3.8. So you'll get to watch it. You'll see a moderately bright star move across the sky at what will appear to be a stately pace. At no more than 600 meters, it's no planet-killer, but a collision would be nasty anyway. Not to worry, the orbit is clearly not a collision course. And while it
could pass through a 600-meter wide "keyhole" that would set up a 2037 collision, the current odds are 1/45,000 against it.
So, no, excepting Vesta (when everything is just right) and Apophis (in 21 years), you won't see any
asteroids with the naked eye.
Finally, however, you
do have a decent chance of seeing a bolide, or "fireball". I saw this one as a kid (
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SwWc_eCkSyw) and just a few weeks ago, folks in western Canada saw this one (
http://fireball.meteorite.free.fr/2008_11_20/Video/video_edmonton.html). The first was probably about the size of a Volkswagen when it hit the atmosphere, and the second about the size of a file cabinet.
And as an amateur astronomer, I've seen a
lot of smaller ones. I still remember August 20, 2000 Perseid shower; lots of bolides with smoky trails!
PS: Most of the "meteor" videos on YouTube are fakes.